Saturday, June 16, 2012

DOWNS AFTER DARK 
CHURCHILL DOWNS 6/16/12

Race 1
2 Count the Gold 10-1
3 Condure 8-5 SHOW
Race 2
2 Holiday Soiree 5-2 WIN $7.20
4 Woodford Lady 5-1
6 Dancin' Lil 4-1 SHOW
Race 3
5 It Happened Again 3-1
1 Astrology 8-5
Race 4
1 Maid of Heaven 10-1 SHOW
8 Don Lunas 5-1
3 Breaking Promise 9-2
Race 5
1 Macho Macho 7-2 SHOW
3 Right to Vote 5-2
2 Stealcase 3-1 PLACE
Race 6
3 Centre Court 7-2 WIN $5.00
7 Coup 3-1
3 Colonial Flag 7-2 PLACE
Race 7
1 St John's River 3-1 SHOW
5 Royal Delta 4-5 WIN $3.20
Race 8
7 Mission Impazible 8-1
1 Wise Dan 8-5 PLACE
Race 9
4 Drill Sergant 3-1 PLACE
7 Mr Producer  3-1
8 Lockout 2-1 WIN $4.20
Race 10
4 Chichilla Lady 9-2 WIN $10.80
2 Dads Shooting Star 2-1
Race 11
1 Voucher 10-1
11 Manly 5-1 WIN $10.00
3 Grand Avenue 3-1
9 Quite Ready 6-1 4th


Best bet Race 8 the 7 Mission Impazible, just missed last year by a neck. Pletcher has this one ready to fire. 1 Wise Dan is main threat.


Cheers!
BELMONT PARK 6/16/2012

Race 8
1 Summer Front 7-2 WIN $4.70
8 Our Entourage 6-1
9 Howe Great 3-1 PLACE
10 Star Channel 8-1


Best Bet R8 the 1 Summer Front, should boss this bunch.


Cheers!

Friday, June 8, 2012

BELMONT STAKES BELMONT PARK 6/9/2012

Race 1
7 Night Brigade 3-1
11 Wet One (Ire) 4-1 SHOW
4 I Dreamt I Was 5-2 WIN $6.50
Race 2
3 Tiz Yankee 4-1 PLACE
1A Distorted Dream 6-1
4 Love to Run 5-1WIN $8.90
6 Escape Artist 3-1
Race 3
9 Mineswept 7-2 WIN $6.70
5 Coalition 15-1
7 Jeter 3-1
Race 4
9 State Flag 6-1
7 Moonstock 4-1
2 Current Design 7-2 SHOW
4 Define 20-1 WIN $27.40
Race 5
6 Carbon Copy 7-2 SHOW
5 In My Eyes 4-1
10 Adirondack Dancer 2-1
Race 6
4 Skyring 6-1
9 Inflation Target 4-1
5 Brimstone Island 5-1
6 Teeth of the Dog 2-1 WIN $6.10
Race 7
5 Royal Currier 12-1
1 Pacific Ocean 5-1
7 Caixa Eletronica 4-1 WIN $9.20
Race 8
5 Hungry Island 5-2 SHOW
4 Winter Memories 6-5 PLACE
1 Tapitsfly 3-1 WIN $8.40
3 Wallis (GB) 15-1
Race 9
8 Isn't He Clever 8-1
2 Hardened Wildcat 12-1
5 Bourbon Courage 5-1
6 Trinniberg 7-2WIN $7.70
Race 10
1 Omayad (Chi) 12-1
2 Boisterous 7-2 SHOW
4 Desert Blanc (GB) 6-1 WIN $14.80
Race 11
9 Paynter 8-1 PLACE
5 Dullahan 5-1
3 Union Rags 6-1 WIN $7.50
4 Antigun 30-1SHOW
Race 12
1 DeerSlayer 5-2 WIN $5.20
9 Count Catamount 7-2 SHOW
Race 13
5 Alarmed Ndangerous 4-1
12 Gossip Column 7-2 WIN $9.90


Best Bet Race 7 the 5 Royal Currier, 2 for 2 at Belmont has plenty of speed can gun or sit just off the pace, bullet 5f work on Jun 3rd, 7 wins at distance from 14 starts and 13 of 14 in the money.  If runs his best beats this field at a fair price.

Race5 the 5 Carbon Country, new trainer, back with NTBand gets the hot riding Ramon Dominguez. In My Eyes 2nd off break also back in with NYB today main danger.

Race6 the 4 Skyring turf to dirt, stretching out, has won 2 in a row, can go to the lead or just sit right off pace. 


Race 9 the 8 Isn't He Clever back to sprints, should be plenty of pace to run at 2 for 2 off works, starts for new trainer Asmussen today. Should get a good trip breaking from the outside post stalking the leaders and running them all down in the stretch.


Race 10 the 1 Omayad (Chi) ships cross country for trainer Neil Drysdale, has won at distance, 7 wins from 9 races and 2 seconds. Just missed in US debut, added distance should help.

Race 11 Belmont Stakes the 9 Paynter the only horse in the filed with a triple digit Beyer(last 2 races). Working great, distance should be no problem. Can sit just off the pace and get Baffert his second Belmont Stakes victory.

Few additional long shot possibilities.
R1 
 3 Silent Joy 10-1
R5 
 2 Headingtothecity 15-1



Cheers!
 
BELMONT PARK 6/8/12

Race 1
6 Prime Player 5-1 WIN $15.40
4 Alvito 3-1 PLACE
9 Purge Bird 5-2
Race 2
1 Rose Junction 5-2* WIN $4.60
3 Lignite 2-1 PLACE
2 Craving Carats 7-2 SHOW
Race 3
8 Demon's Deputy 6-1 PLACE
7 Wise Guy Charlie 2-1 SHOW
2 Harrier Hill 3-1
Race 4
9 Tramici Bay 2-1
7 Second and One  3-1
Race 5 
5 Fear Nothing 5-1 WIN $7.40
2 Teahupoo 5-1
 Race 6
4 Naples Bay 12-1 PLACE
3 Julie's Love 2-1 WIN $3.90
5 Honeymoon Girl 3-1 SHOW
Race 7
10 Strikealinethruit 6-1 PLACE
3 Stray Bullet 3-1
Race 8
10 Solengo 5-1
Race 9
5 Right One 2-1 PLACE
7 Bergerac  5-2
Race 10 
1 Arthur's Tale 8-1 SHOW
10 Redeemed 5-2 WIN $6.50
5 Birdrun 4-1

Best Bet Race 1 the 6 Prime Player.

Cheers!

Sunday, June 3, 2012

BELMONT PARK 6/3/2012

Race 1
2 Harmonizer 6-1 PLACE
5 Plutonium 3-1
3 Itsagoodtendollars 2-1 WIN $7.00
Race 2
1 Non Stop 8-1
6 Little Nick 7-2
7 Surfrider (Ire) 5-2 WIN $3.80
Race 3
2 Dangerous Lad 15-1
3 Tightend Touchdown 3-1
1 Forever Faithful 2-1 PLACE
Race 4
1 Mister Pippit 5-1 PLACE
4 Dominant Jeannes 3-1 SHOW
8 Mosquito 6-1 WIN $11.00
2 Won Fast Bullet 7-2
Race 5
9 Carpi Clements 8-1*
5 Nobody Cares 6-1
Race 6
7 Stock Funds 8-1* PLACE
8 Why Take a Chance 3-1
Race 7
7 Crespano 6-1*
1 Draw It 7-5 SHOW
6 You're Kidding 15-1
5 Moment in Dixie 5-2 WIN $4.10
Race 8
8 Dual Mandate 8-1
1 Cash Bar 5-1
5 The Great Bandini 7-2 PLACE
Race 9
4 Western Tryst 5-1 PLACE
11 King Kressa 8-1 WIN $9.60
Race 10
12 No Three Words 7-2 WIN $4.40

BEST BET Race 8 the 8 Dual Mandate, FTS ships in for Terri Pompay, profitable angles 1rst time starter (29% win), 1rst turf(29% win), debut MC (27% win), turf Sprints(36% win), J/T combo(40% win at Belmont and 24% overall 2011-12), and shipping in from Monmouth where she could have easily found a race to run in.

 Race 5 the 9 Carpi Clements, owner trainer combo 63% wins, can win with FTS, good works, would'nt need to be much to beat this field. 

Race 6 the 7 Stock Fund, Carlos Martin w Espinoza riding(56% win), turn back from route to sprint, is a Maiden facing winners but her last 2 speed figures, both on turf compare favorably.

Race 7 the 7 Crespano, J.R Velazquez riding for Pletcher(40% win Bel spring meet last year), turn back, should sit just off fast pace and get first run. 



Cheers!

Friday, June 1, 2012

BELMONT PARK 6/1/2012

Race 6
6 Christina d' Oro 5-1
4 Sounds of the City 3-1*
11 Sunlight Sonata 4-1 SHOW
2 Vinda 10-1
Race 7
9 Declan 12-1
6 Selection Sunday 7-2*
10 Yari 5-2 WIN $4.10
1 Namron 10-1
Race 8
4 Tapitude 6-1 SHOW
6 Purely Magestic 7-2 PLACE
Race 9
10 Kittylicious 20-1
8 Wise Harmony 3-1 WIN $7.10
1 My Perfect Light 5-2 PLACE
7 Perfect Embrace 4-1


Best Bet Race 8 the 4 Tapitude is working great, trainer wins at 37% with plus 180 day layoffs.

Long shot of the day Race 9 the 10 Kittylicious trainer profitable 2nd start of Belmont meet last year. Drops in class,  turn back in distance, and should be fitter 2nd start off layoff. 

In the pick 4's will also be using in R6 the 8 and R9 the 11.


Cheers!

Thursday, May 31, 2012

BELMONT PARK 5/31/2012

Race 6
3 Love in the Rain 4-1*
6 Revere 5-2 SHOW
7 Backnbiz 10-1
1 Quorum 8-1 WIN $10.20
Race 7
6 Sweet and Lovely 8-1 WIN $14.00
10 Steal the Dance 8-1
7 Peace Preserver 10-1*
5 Island School  4-1 PLACE
Race 8
2 Change of Command 7-2 PLACE
6 Imaging 7-5 WIN $3.80
7 King Ting(Ire) 6-1
1 Liston 6-1
Race 9
3 Deverell 2-1* PLACE
6 Sweetest Peach 15-1


Best Bet Race 6 the 3 Love in the Rain, maiden claimer 40% win, Maiden second start 43% win for trainer.


Cheers!