Saturday, December 7, 2013

TAMPA BAY DOWNS 12/7/2013

Race 1
5 On the River 9-5 PLACE
4 Determinate 5-1 WIN $13.60
3 Oliver Rush 5-2 SHOW
6 Gray Satellite 9-2
Race 2
9 Leavenworth 5-2* WIN $6.40
3 Thunder Brew 6-1
1 Seniors Pride 2-1
7 Valuable Silver 15-1
Race 3
6 Cowgirl Spirit 3-1* WIN $6.80
2 Bee Wane 7-2 PLACE
5 I'm a Southern Diva 4-1
7 Red Bottoms 9-2
Race 4 
7 Belladini 7-2 PLACE
6 Push 5-1
3 Ice for the Lady 6-1 WIN $14.20
8 Brad's Ruby 3-1 late scratch
Race 5
10 Allstar 7-2 4th
6 I'm the Lucky One 3-1 WIN $6.60
1 Scuba 5-1
2 Two Jacks Wild 12-1*
Race 6
5 Enquete 7-5* PLACE
4 Secret Kitten 3-1 SHOW
2 My Sweet Dove 9-2 WIN $13.00
1 Yes Mz Olga 4-1
Race 7
2 Category 7-2* 4th
4 Mighty Brown 5-2 WIN $5.00
7 Taquito 3-1 PLACE
3 Macro Zoom 10-1
Race 8
8 Cool Cowboy 2-1 WIN $3.00
7 Early Entry 7-2 PLACE
4 Pallium Prize 9-2
5 Callmeoldfashion 4-1
Race 9
5 Remember Ned 7-2 4th
3 Tiz Camera Ready 10-1
4 Babe's Ruler 9-2 PLACE
1 Gabby's Purim 3-1
Race 10
2 April Sonnet 10-1
12 Simple Touch 3-1 WIN $6.80
8 Circus Game 7-2 scratched


Best Bet Race 7 the 2 Category, 6.5 to 6f, trainer Proctor with turn back 50% win at Tampa. Bullet 6f work over the track, steady works for return off brief layoff. 

Long Shot Race 10 the 2 April Sonnet 2 yr old filly drops from MSW to Mc30k in 2nd start. Turn back from 1 and 1/16 to 1 mile. Daughter of Shakespeare goes out for trainer Cathy Rountree 19% win Turf routes last 2 Tampa meets. 

Will update after scratches.

Cheers!
 

Thursday, December 5, 2013

TAMPA BAY DOWNS 12/6/2013

Race 1
6 Reinvested 6-1 WIN $14.20
8 Be My Charmer 4-1*
5 Passionforwinning 5-2 PLACE
Race 2 
7 Concerted Effort 5-2* WIN $4.20
4 Georgetownstyle 3-1
3 Bab'sbrickhouse 8-1* 4th
Race 3
5 L P's Tiger 6-1 WIN $18.40
6 Annelle 10-1 4th
3 Anita 5-1 PLACE
2 Bobby's Bell 4-1
8 With Class 3-1
Race 4
7 Greeley's World 9-2*
1 Spring Zapper 4-1 SHOW
8 Despite Her Form 2-1 Scratched
Race 5
4 Unbridled Heat 5-2* PLACE
9 Cool C Note 3-1
7 Espresso 5-1
Race 6
1 Zipso Facto 3-1
4 Proud Road to Glory 7-2 4th
12 Cloud Scapes 2-1 scratched
Race 7
2 Divine Ambition 8-1
9 Duty Blues 4-1
10 Smooz Talker 5-2
5 Fifth Street 6-1 PLACE
Race 8 
8 Lori's Store 4-1* WIN $10.20
7 Sea of Laughter 9-2
9 Before You Know It 5-2 4th
Race 9
6 Artie Ocean 3-1* WIN $7.60
8 Wambri 5-2
3 Dreamboat Charlie 10-1 SHOW


Best Bet Race 8 the 8 Lori's Store
Longshot play Race 7 the 2 Divine Ambition

Race 1
6-8-5-1
Start the racing with a Maiden Claimer 7F. The 6 Reinvested drops from MC30k to the MC7k in second lifetime start while adding blinkers. Had a little trouble in first start and with a clean break and blinkers might be better than these. 8 Be My Charmer is a 4 year old FTS, had a nice 6f work from the gate on the track 11/21. 5 Passionforwinning the probable favorite drops from MC12.5k and turn backs from route to sprint. If the top 2 choices just aren't that good she looks the best of the rest. 1 Chulini has had many chances and has finished behind the 5 in both meetings.
Race 2
7-4-3
The early Pick 4. The 7 Concerted Effort has mixed signals, strong trainer moves at Tampa last year: drops in class 44% win, with F Del La Cruz riding 41%w, and in claiming races below 40K 43% win.Concern is the trainer 0 for 23 Sprint2Route. She did break her maiden in a route wire to wire. 4 Georgetownstyle has been competitive in all races had trouble in last. Drops and stretches out. 3 Bab'sbrickhouse has some Beyer figures in past races that if repeats could take this race. The rest of the field just doesn't look fast enough based off of lifetime or recent form.
Race 3
5-6-3-2
In this 7F 5k claimer, the 5 L P's Tiger. likes the track and distance. Just missed in last going shorter.
6 Annelle has bullet work for drop back into a claimer, won last 2 races when running for a tag. The 3 Anita, another horse that loves the track, gets 10 pound apprentice weight break. Last win was at this distance and track. 2 Bobby's Bell, been off for over 100 days may need a race, but if fires best fresh will be dangerous.
Race 4
7-1-8
The first turf race of the day and the 7 Greeley's World drops in class for Trainer Thomas Proctor a 40% winning move past 2 meets. 1 Spring Zapper gets Lasix first time and drops from MSW to MC in 3rd career start. 8 Despite Her Form goes out for trainer Chapman first time 57% win from 7 starts. Has finished 2nd 3 times from 5 starts.
Race 5
4-9-7
The start of the Pick 5. The 4 Unbridled Heat drops below level of claim 2 back and turns back from route to sprint. Trainer wins 44 % drop in class last year at Tampa. Gets trainer go to rider F De La Cruz41% wins last TBD meet. Not a lot of sprint speed in this race can go to lead or sit just off pace. 9 Cool C Note, don't know much about this trainer but DRF shows a 27% win off the claim, drops to new low. Route to sprint another strong angle for this trainer 38% win. 7 Espresso drops back to level of last win needs a fast pace up front for late rally.
Race 6
1-4-12
Back to the turf to start the late Pick 4. The 1 Zipso Facto  an improving 3 year old, last 3 outs Beyers have risen. Gets rider switch from a bug to one of the top Tampa riders past few meets in Serpa. The 4 Proudroad to Glory just missed in last, comes off a short break, Has won at distance and 2nd best turf Beyer figure. 12 Cloud Scapes is an AE and will need to draw in, but if he does will be huge threat to win. He is the only horse to run a 80+ Beyer. Great work on the 26th. Outside post the only concern.
Race 7
2-9-10-5
2 Divine Ambition has faced better than these in past racing in the ArkDerby Gr1 and the SF Davis Gr3.Makes 3rd start off a layoff. Has won at today's distance. 9 Duty Blues, hasn't won all year but price tag drops in half to 32k. Has won at track and distance. 10 Smooz Talker last was best yet on synthetic. Will be looking to carry that form to dirt in first off the claim 27% win angle for new trainer. Has never won at the 7f distance. The 5 Fifth Street likes Tampa and has won at distance. Steps up in class after being steady in stretch in last. 2nd off the layoff.
Race 8
8-7-9
8 Lori's Store best bet of the day goes out for trainer Proctor turning back in distance from 1 and 1/16 to a mile on the turf. Broke maiden at Tampa at today's distance. comes in fresh off a break with a steady string of works. 7 Sea of Laughter goes out for trainer Graham Motion broke maiden at today's distance on the Tampa turf course. 9 Before You Know It another off the claim for trainer Dane Kobiskie 27% win. Has never won on the turf. been close with one 2nd and two 3rds from three starts.

Race 9
6-8-3
The 6 Artie Ocean, another high percent angle for trainer DaCosta drop in class 44$w, Jock/Trainer 41%. Claimer less than 40K 43% win at Tampa last meet. 8 Wambri, loses rider F Del La Cruz to the choice. Turns back from route to sprint. 3 Dreamboat Charlie, broke maiden in last drops to 16k in first try vs winners.

Cheers!




Monday, December 2, 2013

TAMPA BAY DOWNS 12/4/2013

Race 1
2 Seeking Reason 4-1
7 Mambo Maya 9-2 4th
1 Ridge Kitten 3-1 WIN $9.40
Race 2
1 Katapulter 6-1 WIN $16.00
9 Half Wed 2-1 PLACE
4 Astonish 9-2 SHOW
8 Hidden Gift 4-1
Race 3
4 Pico Pico 8-1 PLACE
1 Kylies Wildcard 8-1
6 Oxford Street 10-1
5 Bluegrass Jam 9-5
Race 4 
3 House of Prayer 12-1
5 Tiz Watch 4-1 WIN $7.00
10 Gargamellow 7-2 
Race 5
8 G C River 12-1*
11 My Tee Time 5-1 SHOW
7 Shepherds Furey 7-2
1 Off the Street 3-1 PLACE
Race 6
10 Audacity of Hope (GB) 8-1*
9 Monroe Court 7-2 scratched
2 Because I Win 4-1 
11 Yenzen 8-1 SHOW
Race 7 
10 Young Dude 5-2* WIN $5.40
1 Burley's Gold 4-1 4th
5 See I A 7-2
8 Justforgetaboutit 12-1
Race 8 
4 Mister Pippit 9-5 * SHOW
5 Silver Cloud 4-1* PLACE
6 Let It Rock 9-2
Race 9
2 Bellamy Storm 7-5
3 Bowman's Sam 5-1 PLACE
4 Diamond Heist 12-1
1 Eclipticalswildcat 15-1


Best Bet Race 5 the 8 G C River, trainer Darien Rodriquez wins at 47% first start for trainer, coming in off layoff broke maiden off layoff. Trainer at Tampa last 3 years off 90 day layoff 2 wins from 3 starts. Last year trainer won with 42% at Tampa 5 for 12. Trainer is also winning at 41% from all starts in 2013. Most likely won't get the 12-1ml hoping for 5-1.

Long Shot of the Day Race 6 the 10 Audacity of Hope (GB) ran out of money in last after showing a little more early speed, gets rider switch to Serpa. Trainer Manning good with Turf routers at Tampa 33% win. Trainer has been know to win at a big price at Tampa. 

Will update after scratches. 

Cheers!
 

Saturday, November 30, 2013

AQUEDUCT RACE 8 THE CIGAR MILE

Race 8
9 Flat Out 6-1 WIN $15.00
4 Groupie Doll 3-1 4th
2 Forty Tales 10-1
3 Clearly Now 5-1

Best Bet Race 8 the 9 Flat Out.

Cheers!

Saturday, November 23, 2013

AQUEDUCT 11/23/2013 Late Pick 4 Race 6-9

Race 6
6 Haldane 12-1 
1 Kelli Got Frosty 3-1 4th
5 Keep Bustin 7-2
3 Vicki's Dancer 5-1 WIN $10.80
4 P J's Superego 10-1 SHOW
10 Matchmadeinheaven 12-1
7 Familyofroses 12-1 PLACE
Race 7
9 Bakken 1-1 WIN $2.80
11 Truth Is 4-1 4th
10 Shankopotamus 12-1 PLACE
2 Jeter 8-1 scratched
Race 8
1 Sportswriter 10-1
3 West Hills Giant 6-1 PLACE
2 Chapman 7-2 4th
7 Smooth Bert 4-1 scratched
Race 9
3 Seven Dreams 8-1
4 My Pink Easterbaby 7-2 

 Best Bet Race 8 the 1 Sportswriter.

$0.50 Pick 4
1,3,4,5,6,7,10 w 9,11 w 1,2,3 w 3,4 for $42
1,3,5,6 w 10 w 1,3 w 3,4 for $8

Race 6 $20 win  6
Race 8  $20 win 1 
$10 dd 1 with 3
Race 9 $20 win 3

Total of wagers $120


Cheers! 

Race 6 Haldane, 4th start off layoff, just missed two back going shorter. Her two wins were at today's distance and has won on off track. Switching from the rail to the six post should help.
Race 7 Bakkan, impressive debut, if runs back to that race wins for fun. 
Race 8 Sportswriter, 2nd off claim, gets Jacobson go to rider Cohen today, has won at distance and track.
Race 9 Seven Dreams, drawing a line through last race, likes the tack and distance. Two back beat better and has won on off track.

Sunday, November 17, 2013

AQUEDUCT 11/17/2013 Late Pick 4 Races 6-9

Race 6
2 Street Game 3-1
8 Front 7-2 WIN $12.20
4 Knockher Off 8-1 scratched
Race 7
3 Nonnie Connie 3-1 4th
5 My Unbridled Storm 8-1
8 Ascended Fever 7-2 SHOW
11 Dee Dee's Content 12-1 PLACE
Race 8
11 Big John B 6-1
4 Bo Strikes Back 8-1 SHOW
5 Hothersal 2-1 PLACE
1 Cheyenne Nation 4-1 WIN $10.20
Race 9
8 Chief Scout 8-1
2 Rap d' Oro 3-1 WIN $4.90
12 M P Ruckus 9-2 scratched
10 St. Sincere 4-1 4th

Best Bet Race 8 the 11 Big John B.

Race 6 the 2 Street Game drops from stakes to optional claimer. Has won at distance and only time over track.
Race 7 the 3 Nonnie Connie only win was with today's jock Castellano riding. Route to sprint
Race 8 the 11 Big John B first off claim for Serivs 28% win. Comes in off of layoff and has won last 2 when running fresh. 4 Bo Strikes Back ships in off 2 wins from Laurel for trainer Kravets 
Race 9 the 8 Chief Scout gets blinkers and drops from MC 50k to MC 16k in 3rd career start. Race lacks speed maybe with blinkers added can get to lead and never look back.

Cheers!

Saturday, November 16, 2013

AQUEDUCT 11/16/2013 LATE PICK 4 RACES 6-9

Race 6
2 Reggie D 4-1 SHOW
7 Uncle Smokey 7-2 WIN $12.20
10 Precious Metal 5-1 PLACE
 1 Native Singer 3-1 scratched
Race 7
6 Tannery (Ire) 5-1 SHOW
11 Hyper 5-2
2 Imagining 7-2 WIN $8.30
Race 8
9 Zetterholm 8-1 SHOW
7 Zivo 8-1 PLACE
10 Awesome Vision 4-1 WIN $14.20
Race 9
9 Western Exchange 6-1
13 Breakeven Analysis 6-1 
8 Sheldon 3-1 SHOW
5 That's a Kitten 4-1 scratched

Best Bet Race 8 the 9 Zetterholm.

Cheers! 

Race 6 Reggie D back from a short rest for Levine. Castellano stays. Lone win at Aqueduct. Uncle Smokey 3rd off layoff and second off claim for Jacobson gets in light with apprentice jock Esquivel riding back.. Precious Metal, turf to dirt, coming in good form off win. Versatile has won on dirt. Drops for Rudy. 
Race 7 Tannery 2 for 3 at today's distance, been running in Grade 1's. Won last. Gets 4th different jock in last 4 races with Solis riding, may offer value. Filly trying the boys again. Hyper top last out Beyer, winning rider Castellano back on for Chad Brown. Imaging appears best of rest and Rosario gets the mount(rode Hype and Tannery in their last races). Has speed to be near or on the lead and could steal. 
Race 8 Zetterholm 2nd start off layoff turns back to distance of last win. Gets winning rider Alvarado back. Has won on track. Can close into expected fast pace. Zivo steps up off win. Should get a good spot sitting off front runners. Rosario stays aboard. Awesome Vision 3 for 4 at today's distance, has win over track. Another that can sit off pace. 
Race 9 Western Exchange first time starter for Clemente. Steady works for trainer that is profitable with FTS. Breakeven Analysis draws in off the AE's for Chad Brown. 3rd start of career, adds blinkers. Should be ready to fire today. Sheldon adds lasix and drops from G3 back to the MSW rank. Rallied well in lone MSW race at shorter distance.