The Red Carpet Stakes: Final Betting Strategy

The Grade III Red Carpet Stakes at Del Mar remains a highly competitive turf marathon. The scratch of the #1 is noted but does not impact the wagering structure, which is focused on maximizing value on the top contenders.

Top Picks & Rationale

The strategy centers on one horse for the win, another for insurance, and six key contenders for a high-payout exotic finish.

• Primary Win Candidate: #5 Public Assembly (5-1)

• This horse offers the best combination of odds and performance. It provides the strongest value for a win bet.

• Anchor Place Candidate: #2 Mrs. Astor (5-2)

• The defending champion in this race is the model of consistency. A high-percentage Place bet on the #2 secures a return if the top choice falters, ensuring bankroll stability.

• Exotic Pool (The Six Contenders):

• The wagering structure includes all six key contenders—#2, #4, #5, #6, #9, #10—to ensure coverage for a large exotic payout should a longshot like the #4 or #10 hit the board.

Final $60.00 High-Conviction Betting Strategy

The final strategy allocates the maximum possible confidence to the primary win bet while efficiently covering the top six horses in the Exacta and the top five in the Trifecta, staying precisely within the budget.

Wager Breakdown:

• $28 Win on #5 Public Assembly

• $10 Place on #2 Mrs. Astor

• $1 Exacta Wheel (1st/2nd): 5, 2 over 2, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10

• $0.50 Trifecta Wheel (1st/2nd/3rd): 5, 2 over 5, 2, 6, 9, 10 over 5, 2, 6, 9, 10

Good luck at the windows!

 Cheers!

 Commonwealth Turf (G3)

The Grade III Commonwealth Turf Stakes at Churchill Downs is shaping up to be a fantastic betting race. While the favorite is tough, the action in the jockey colony has created a golden opportunity for value. The play here is to back the horse in peak form and take advantage of the generous odds.

Breaking Down the Top Four Contenders

1. #3 Montador (5-1 ML) — The Top Pick: This horse is coming off a sharp win and is in the best form of his career. The big knock is that top jockey Tyler Gaffalione jumped off, but the horse landed the perfect replacement: elite rider Luis Saez. With a strong closing kick, Montador is the value play ready to step up in class.

2. #2 Troubleshooting (7-2 ML) — The Favorite: The most logical threat in the race. This horse is a proven graded stakes winner and comes from the high-powered Brad Cox barn. The fact that Gaffalione chose this mount speaks volumes, but the low odds offer little cushion if he doesn't fire.

3. #8 Chapman's Peak (9-2 ML) — The Consistent Threat: Another dangerous runner from the Brad Cox stable. This colt is a winner of his last two races and gets Irad Ortiz, Jr. in the saddle. A must-include in all exotic wagers based on consistency and powerful connections.

4. #4 Anegada (12-1 ML) — The Key Longshot: A horse that has previously hit the board in graded stakes, providing proven class at excellent odds.

The Betting Strategy

• Win Bet: $20.00 on #3 Montador

• Exacta Box: $2.00 on #2, #3, #8

• Trifecta Box: $1.00 on #2, #3, #4, #8

• Exacta Part-Wheel: $1.00 #3 with #4, #9, #10, #11

Total Wager: $60.00

Good luck at the windows!

Cheers!

 DEL MAR Friday 11/01/2025 Breeders' Cup Day 2

Race 1

1 One of These Days (Ire) 8-1

9 Russelle Hustle 6-1

3 Suchet (Fr) 7-2 WIN $10.40 

8 Moonlight Sonata 15-1 SHOW

Race 2

8 Modus Bestia 3-1 WIN $6.20 

12 Red Flag 6-1 4th

10 Comedy Town 10-1 PLACE

3 Wayne the Brain 10-1

1 Ghost of Midnight 5th

Race 3

5 Medoro 6-1 SHOW

3 Special Wan (Ire) 2-1 WIN $5.20 

2 Deep Satin 7-2 5th

9 Breath Away (GB) 8-1 PLACE 

10 Lady Claypoole (Ire)

Race 4

8 Hope Road 4-1 SHOW

9 Richi (Chi) 5-1

3 Vahva 12-1 PLACE

2 Splendora 8-1 WIN $7.80

Race 5

2 Reef Runner 6-1 4th

1 Moptorious (GB) 7-2 5th

8 Ag Bullet 4-1 PLACE

10 Shisospicy 6-1 WIN $12.60 

Race 6

1 Kopion 7-2 5th

3 Lovesick Blues 10-1

10 Bentornato 5-2 WIN $5.40 

2 Banishing 15-1

7 Imagination PLACE

Race 7

8 Seismic Beauty 9-5

1 Nitrogen 4-1 PLACE 

7 Gin Gin 12-1

4 Scylla 15-1 WIN $17.20 

Race 8

1 Rebel's Romance (Ire) 5-2 PLACE 

8 Minnie Hauk (Ire) 8-5

2 Goliath (Ger) 8-1

4 Redistricting (GB) 15-1

Race 9

9 Journalism 10-1 4th

7 Sierra Leone 8-1 PLACE 

1 Fierceness 4-1 SHOW 

5 Forever Young (Jpn) 6-1 WIN $9.00 

8 Mindframe 5th

Race 10

2 Notable Speech (GB) 5-2 WIN $7.20 

7 Johannes 8-1

3 Sahlan (Ire) 6-1 5th

4 The Lion In Winter (Ire) 6-1 SHOW 

11 Rhetorical 4th, 

5 Program Trading (GB)

Race 11

7 Citizen Bull 10-1 PLACE 

3 Nysos 8-5 WIN $3.40 

6 Full Serrano (Arg) 7-2 5th

10 White Abarrio 8-1

Race 12

9 Cinderella's Dream (GB) 9-2

13 She Feels Pretty 4-1 PLACE 

6 Diamond Rain (GB) 6-1 SHOW 

5 Gezora (Fr) 7-2 WIN $20.20 

Cheers!

DEL MAR Friday 10/31/2025 Breeders' Cup Day 1

Race 1

1 Westwood 7-2 PLACE 

3 Clooney 15-1

9 Brazenly  9-2 SHOW

4 Better Than Gold 8-1

Race 2

8 Dr. Ange 5-1 4th

5 Plutarch 2-1 SHOW

2 Conducted 3-1 WIN $5.40 

9 Caro Buono (FR) 10-1

Race 3

4 Miss Kona 7-2 4th

9 Mohaven 4-1 WIN $5.60 

12 Liberation 9-2 SHOW 

7 Too Sassy 9-2

Race 4

9 Great Venezuela 6-1 4th

6 Shoot It True 3-1 PLACE

4 Queen Maxima 5-2 WIN $4.80 

2 Nay V Belle 8-1 SHOW

Race 5

9 Thirsty Rebel 7-2 4th

2 Ocean Bear 5-2 WIN $6.60 

6 Sammy Davis 9-2 PLACE 

4 Pavlovian 8-1

Race 6

6 Intricate Spirit 12-1

11 Schwarzenegger 5-1

12 Lennilu 8-1

9 True Love (Ire) 7-2

Race 7

7 Explora 5-2 PLACE 

5 Tommy Jo 7-2

2 Bottle of Rouge 9-2

1 Iron Orchard 6-1

Race 8

1 Ultimate Love 8-1

3 Imagionationhelady 10-1 4th

6 Switch in Love (Jpn) 20-1

12 Pacific Mission 15-1 PLACE 

Race 9

7 Brant 5-2 SHOW 

8 Ted Noffey 4-5 WIN $3.60 

6 Litmus Test 15-1 4th

1 Intrepido 8-1

Race 10

13 Hey Nay Nay (Ire) 8-1

14 Gstaad (GB) 9-5 WIN $4.40 

9 Argos 6-1

12 Bottas 6-1

Cheers!

SARATOGA Monday 9/1/2025

Race 1

4 Oscar's Hope 2-1* WIN $3.36

2 Grunge 6-1

8 Scutinator 5-1

1 Winning Method 4-1 SHOW

Race 2

4 Only in America 6-1 WIN $20.00

2 Duration 5-2 SHOW

3 Barb 2-1 4th

5 Time to Win 3-1 PLACE 

Race 3

7 Alittlebitnaughty 6-1 PLACE

11 Trinity River 3-1

9 Makeyourmoment 8-1 4th

10 Powered by Coal 8-1

Race 4

7 Hands of Time 9-2

5 Desperate Proposal 8-1

10 Printer's Alley 12-1 4th

11 Lachaise 7-2*

Race 5

5 Cocktailsnkringle 8-1* WIN $9.16 

2 Career Risk 4-1

10 Reaction 6-1

6 Kavanaugh 8-1 PLACE

Race 6

6 Arinata 5-1 WIN $8.00 

5 Raynham Hall 6-1 PLACE 

4 Sassy Sats 9-2 4th

10 Last Call Jenna 7-2

Race 7

4 Points is Points 5-1* 4th

3 Fully Subscribed 4-1 SHOW 

10 Meursault 7-2

5 Fast and Frisky 8-1

Race 8

6 Big Beautiful (Ire) 6-1 WIN $8.58 

8 Louise Proctor (GB) 4-1 SHOW 

9 Curlin's Angel 5-2 4th

1 Scarlett's Halo 10-1 

Race 9

1 Curtain Call 9-2* SHOW 

3 Romeo 3-1

5 Buetane 2-1 PLACE 

8 Ted Noffey 9-2 WIN $9.62 

Race 10

1 Asbury Park (GB) 7-2 SHOW

3 Stars and Strides 9-2 WIN $5.40 

9 Mi Bago 6-1

7 Crudo 8-1 4th

Race 11

3 Twolatebabydoll (Fr) 7-2*

5 Say Yes To Dreams (Ire) 4-1 WIN $6.88 

9 Every Vote Counts (GB) 10-1 4th

12 Divine Rose 4-1

Cheers!

SARATOGA Sunday 8/31/2025

Race 1

3 Endorse 7-2* PLACE 

7 Ivory and Ebony 5-2 WIN $4.50 

2 Delicious Diva 10-1

6 Resurge 7-2 SHOW

Race 2

5 Kuleana 9-2*

8 Hellz Kitchen 6-1

4 Mr. Bres 7-2

2 A Little At First 5-1

Race 3

4 Society Man 6-1

2 Echo Again 5-2* PLACE 

5 Dilger (ire) 3-1* SHOW

3 Capital Idea 9-2 WIN $18.60 

Race 4

4 Livin the Breeze 5-1 SHOW 

3 Maria Callas 9-5

7 Boomington 8-1

6 Makealittlelove 6-1 WIN $16.20 

Race 5

3 Seirra Leone 8-5 PLACE 

4 Mindframe 2-1

2 Highland Falls 5-1 SHOW

5 White Abarrio 8-1 4th

Race 6

4 Peak Hype 9-2* 4th

10 Virgin Colada 2-1*

1 Cliffs 4-1 PLACE 

8 Sol d'Oro 10-1

Race 7

8 Lovely Christina 5-2 WIN $4.00

4 All About You 6-1 SHOW 

9 Celebrity Quest 6-1

12 Buckeye Favorite 10-1 4th

Race 8

7 Tap into This 3-1 WIN $6.30 

6 Protective 9-2

5 Rockteer 8-1*

4 Burning Glory 8-1 PLACE 

Race 9

9 Royal Guard 4-1* 4th

10 Tacticallity 3-1

13 Sunrise 4-1 WIN $8.60 

2 Triton 8-1 SHOW

Race 10

9 Big Invasion 5-1 4th

5 Twenty Six Black 4-1 WIN $4.60

2 Outlaw Kid 10-1 SHOW 

1 Dancing Buck 9-2

Race 11

2 Lodato 6-1

4 Army Proud 5-1 SHOW 

9 College Hunk 20-1

10 Vibrant Express 9-2 4th

Race 12

2 Navajo Warrior 2-1*

9 Hero Status 9-2*

1a Alternate Reality 7-2

6 Gasoline 6-1

Race 13

10 River Tay (Ire) 15-1

9 Our Lady Peace 5-1*

5 Kyle's Mom 8-1

7 Carolina Smokeshow 4-1

Race 14

4 Wind Dancer 12-1

2 Hello Newman 3-1

11 Deener 8-5

9 Mission Hill 15-1

Cheers!

 SARATOGA Saturday 8/30/2025

Race 1

2 Neigh Baby 3-1 PACE 

3 Imagine John 5-1 WIN $14.80 

8 Rare Eclipse 12-1

9 Jolted 7-2

Race 2

1 Coach Ryan 3-1

8 Twirling Lad 5-1 PLACE

4 Diliello 4-1 SHOW 

6 Truman's Commander 10-1 WIN $26.40 

Race 3

3 Trust Fund 9-2 WIN $6.70 

5 What's Up Bro 5-2*

1 Runaway Joke 7-2 4th

4 Ten Cent Town 6-1 SHOW 

Race 4

5 Creditworthy 5-2 WIN $10.40 

6 Set 3-1 PLACE 

1 Final Verdict 4-1

7 Twisted Filigree 6-1 SHOW 

Race 5

3 Scythian 5-2 SHOW 

2 Tough Street 3-1* PLACE 

8 Midtown Lights 8-1 WIN $13.00 

7 Khali Magic 6-1 4th

Race 6

1 Stradale 5-2 PLACE 

3 Accost 3-1 4th

4 Talkin 9-2 WIN $20.60 

6 Further Ado 5-1 SHOW

Race 7

5 Long Neck Paula 8-5 4th

3 Delightful Claire 6-5 PLACE 

1 Flat Out Time 10-1 SHOW 

4 Stone Smuggler 8-1

Race 8

6 Dragones 5-2 PLACE 

8 Ima Big Bad Wolf 6-1 SHOW

5 Akkadian 10-1

9 Frenchquater Note 10-1

Race 9

3 Tales of The Heart (Ire) 6-1 PLACE 

4 Shoot It True 5-2 WIN $3.60 

1 Dangherecomesshang (Ire) 8-1 SHOW 

2 Girls Rock 6-1 4th

Race 10

8 Bellezza (Ire) 5-2 WIN $7.50 

3 Lon Ago (GB) 

7 Be Your Best (Ire) 5-2 SHOW 

4 La Mehana (Fr) 2-1 4th

Race 11

8 Tommy Jo 2-1 WIN $4.00 

4 Mythical 5-2

5 Percy's Bar 6-1 PLACE 

6 Sina 15-1

Race 12

2 Rookie Card 7-2

4 Surveillance 7-2 4th

7 Whatchatalkingabout 3-1 PLACE 

8 Victory Way 4-1 SHOW 

Race 13

5 Debt Limit (Ire) 3-1 4th

6 Ramblin' Wreck 8-1

12 Main Beach 9-2

11 Laurel Valley 6-1

Cheers!