Friday, April 19, 2013

TAMPA BAY DOWNS 4/20/2013

Race 1
3 It's Not Nice 5-2 WIN $3.40
5 Hellen's Folly 9-2
1 Indian Runner 7-2 SHOW
2 Aragorn's Quest 4-1 4th
Race 2
4 Oldum 3-1 SHOW
7 Enduring Cause 5-1
3 Scotts Gap 2-1
Race 3
9 Moms Glide 4-1
7 Roman Score 5-2 WIN $10.00
6 With My Daddy 7-2 PLACE
1 Delivery 10-1
Race 4
9 Emily's Sundance 2-1 WIN $4.00
4 Just Safe 9-2
Race 5
9 Asian Invasion 6-1
10 Ballerino 2-1 PLACE
1 Splittin' Wood 8-1 WIN $12.00
2 I Captivate Myself 5-2 SHOW
Race 6
3 Chazzy Hustle 10-1 4th
6 Alex McGee 3-1
7 Lucky Shot 7-2
9 Mighty Gideon 5-2 WIN $10.20
Race 7
4 Spring a Latch 6-1 PLACE
5 Yawn 4-14th
7 Wild Romance 7-2 SHOW
3 Tataliza 3-1 WIN $9.60
Race 8
4 Lucky Place 9-2
3 It's a Bad Rapit 5-2 SHOW
1 Pack a Punch 7-2 4th
7 Katapulter 6-1
Race 9
9 Iloveyoubutimbored 6-1 PLACE
8 War Politics 6-1
1 El Uno 3-1 WIN $7.20
6 Oak Harbor 9-2
Race 10
8 Mary's Derby Rose 6-1
7 Lady of the Glen 2-1 SHOW
5 Pursteena 7-2 WIN $9.60
10 Miss Scout 4-1 PLACE

Best Bet Race 9 the 9 Iloveyoubutimbored, goes out for sharp trainer Reid Nagle. First time blinkers(40% win), stretches out to a mile(distance of lone win at Tampa last April), 2nd start off layoff (38% win). 2011 and 2012 Tampa meets Nagle won 42% in Turf routes. Go to rider Villa-Gomez. 

Analysis:

Race 6 the 3 Chazzy Hustle, repeats pattern of maiden win turf route to 7f sprint, De La Cruz in the irons.
Race 7 the 4 Spring a Latch, drops from 75k to 25k. Broke maiden(32K) this distance 4 back. Garcia rides back on the drop and was winning rider on mdn win. 

Betting Strategy:
Race 3 $0.50 P4 the 1,3,6,7,9 w 4,9 w 9,10 w 3,6,7,9
Race 5 $5 win 9 and $2 exacta box 9,10
Race 6 $10 win 3
$0.50 P5 the 3 w 4,5 w 3,4 w 8,9 w 5,7,8
Race 7 $10 win 4 and $2 exacta box 4,5
$0.50 P4 the 3,4,5,7 w 3,4 w 8,9 w 5,7,8,10
Race 8 $1 P3 the 3,4 w 9 w 5,7,8,10 
Race 9 $20 win 9

Total Wagered $145.00

Will update best bet and wager strategy after scratches.

Cheers!

Bonus Races
Calder 
Race 9  Miami Mile Hcp Gr III 1 mile Turf
1 Summer Front  3-1 WIN $3.80
4 Awake At T Wire 20-1
3 Empire Builder 12-1 SHOW
5 Alley Oop Oop 8-1 4th
Keeneland
Race 8 Giant's Causeway 5 1/2 furlongs Turf
1 Rosa Salvaje 12-1
2 Extravaganza 5-1
8 Spun Cap 6-1 PLACE
Race 9 Lexington Gr III 1 1/16 miles
1 Winning Cause 5-1 WIN $15.60
10 General Election 15-1 PLACE
11 Pure Fun 7-2
Hawthorne 
Race 8 Illinois Derby Gr III 1 1/16 miles
8 Abraham 8-1 4th
5 Ground Transport 8-1
13 Departing 7-2 WIN $5.80

Wednesday, April 17, 2013

TAMPA BAY DOWNS 4/19/2013

Race 1
7 Dunnyzapper 15-1 4th
2 Candi Man Rules 6-1
6 Dynamic Duke 9-5 WIN $3.40
Race 2
5 Just Jebicah 7-2 4th
4 Angelofdistinction 5-2 PLACE
3 Fifth Street 2-1 SHOW
Race 3
7 Come Out and Play 3-1* PLACE
2 Chulini 5-2 4th
1 Favorite Return 12-1
Race 4
4 Scrabblecat 9-2 WIN $11.60
7 You Are Afleet 8-5 PLACE
1 Winstride 15-1
Race 5
1 Another Smokey 4-1 PLACE
6 Butterdish 7-2
9 My Estelle 8-1
10 Nurse Dolce 6-1 SHOW
Race 6
3 Steven 2-1 4th
6 Turbeyville 5-2 WIN $7.60
1 He's Appealing 3-1
Race 7
5 Audington 3-1
2 Gloriana 4-1 PLACE
8 Giselle Ma Belle 15-1
Race 8
10 Romeria 10-1 4th
9 Pica Pica 8-1 PLACE
6 Nouvelle Orleans 3-1 SHOW
Race 9
3 Hobo Ridge 4-1 WIN $10.80
4 Katrina's Prince 3-1 SHOW
8 Game Drive 5-1
5 Generalissimo 9-2 PLACE
2 Folk Singer 7-2 4th
Race 10
9 It Takes Heart 8-5 PLACE
2 Left Foot Slewie 10-1 WIN $18.60

Best Bet Race 10 the 7 Come Out and Play, drops in class 31% win, second start adds lasix, and hot riding F Del Cruz rides.
Race 10 the 9 It Takes Heart, weak field should boss these, no value in win bet.  

Betting Strategy:

Race 3 $0.50 P4 the  1,2,7 w 1,4,7 w 1,6,9,10 w 1,3,6
$20 win 7  
Race 4 $20 win 4,  $5 exacta box 4,7 and $0.50 trifecta box 1,4,7
Race 6 $0.50 P5 the 3 w 2,5 w 10 w 2,3,4,5,8 w 9
Race 7 $0.50 P4 the 2,5,8 w 6,9,10 w 2,3,4,5,8 w 9
Race 9 $20 win 3 and $10 exacta box 3,4

Total Wagered $175.00



Cheers!


 

Tuesday, April 16, 2013

TAMPA BAY DOWNS 4/17/2013

Race 1
5 Guaperia 7-2 PLACE
2 Friends Rule 2-1 WIN $3.60
1 Barbershop 5-1
Race 2
2 No Waiting 3-1 PLACE
6 Rivas Run 5-2 WIN $5.40
1 Elk's Big Red 8-5 lost rider in stretch(would have at least show)
Race 3
5 Barbada 4-1* SHOW
4 Jamestown 2-1
7 Executive Action 12-1 WIN $11.40
8 Stayo 3-1 PLACE
Race 4
5 Rokeby Baby 8-1 WIN $12.60
7 Opera Star 5-2 PLACE
4 Twistin Storm 3-1
10 Miss Prim 7-2
Race 5
6 Mia Runner 4-1
5 Include the Aussie 3-1 WIN $7.00
Race 6 
7 Proud and Pretty 5-1 4th
5 Zee's Cure 3-1 SHOW
2 Mambo Maya 6-1 PLACE
4 Prized Dream 12-1
Race 7
7 Gun Point 4-1*
4 Rico Suave 3-1 WIN $5.60
3 World Traveler 6-1
1 Fessed Up 5-1 SHOW
Race 8
2 Red Wine 8-1
11 Zuber 5-1 4th
8 Gimmeawinkpoppy 12-1
Race 9
8 Channel Quest 6-1
1 Delivered 9-2
9 Saturday at Ten 7-2 4th
5 Blameshifter 3-1 WIN $9.20

Best Bet Race 3 the 5 Barbada.

Betting Strategy:

Race 2 $0.50 P4 the 1,2,6 w 5 w 4,5,6,7,9,10 w  5,6
Race 3 $20 win 5
Race 5 $0.50 P5 the 5,6 w 5,7 w 7 w 2 w 1,3,5,8,9,10 
Race 6 $0.50 P4 the 2,4,5,7 w 4,7 w 2,11 w 1,3,5,8,9,10
Race 7 $2 P3 the 7 w 2 w 8
$20 win 7 and $2 DD 7 w 2
Race 8 $20 win 2 and $2 DD 2 w 8
Race 9 $20 win 8

Total Wagers $164.00

Will update after scratches.

Cheers! 

Sunday, April 14, 2013

TAMPA BAY DOWNS 4/14/2013

Race 7
1 Queen for Life 5-1 WIN $9.60
10 Mercury Moon 2-1 SHOW
4 Trippi's Valentine 7-2
5 Patsy Jo 6-1 4th
Race 8
8 G's Backinaction 4-1 WIN $10.60
6 Miss Dayna Lee 7-2
4 Wyatt's Women 5-2 4th
Race 9
1 Vibrant Worship 6-1
7 Sing Me a Lullaby 7-2 PLACE (dq'd from 1rst)
6 First Run 8-1
Race 10
5 Sin Banderas 8-1 4th
1 Two Term Leader 2-1 WIN $3.80

Best Bet Race 10 the 5 Sin Banderas, gets Gallardo to ride, has been on my horse to watch list since debut on 12/7/12. If Gallardo can get him a little more involved early has a chance to spring the upset. Win bet and exacta box with 1 Two Term Leader.

Betting Strategy:

Race 7 $0.50 P4 the 1,4,5,10 w 4,6,8 w 1,6,7 w 1,5 
Race 8 $1 P3 the 8 w 1,6,7 w 1,5
Race 10 $20 win 5 and $10 exacta box 1 w 5

Total Wagered $82.00

Cheers!