Saratoga Phil

TAMPA BAY DOWNS 1/18/2015

Race 1
5 Fiesta Rose 1-1* PLACE
3 Roma's Sister 3-1 WIN $10.20
1 Carmen's Secret 10-1
4 Awe Zoom 9-2 SHOW
Race 2
7 Prize Native 8-1
2 Better Man 7-2 4th
6 Pure Luxury 2-1 PLACE
5 Pacific Image 3-1 WIN $5.00
Race 3
5 Inaswagger 2-1 WIN $5.00
8 Third Cup O Coffee 5-2 PLACE
1 Island Dude 3-1
7 Karmic 12-1
Race 4
1 Jaye's Moondust 2-1
7 Frosty Girl 5-2 PLACE
4 Picadilly Gal 6-1 WIN $16.00
6 My Dear Giulia 20-1
Race 5
10 Shatter 6-1* 4th
8 Bitter Tears 7-2 PLACE
6 Can't Stop Believin 3-1 WIN $9.60
Race 6
1 Cowgirl Rose 10-1
3 Jojalais 3-1 PLACE
4 Mr Oceanaire 4-1
12 Daytona Bay 9-2 scratched
Race 7
5 Mister Blue 5-1
1 With Expression 7-2 SHOW
3 Puttinonashow 4-1 PLACE
10 Fearthefalcon 5-1 scratched
Race 8
6 Bella Bamba 3-1 SHOW
2 Scarlett Del 7-2
12 Brooks Gift 8-1
Race 9
2 Remember Ned 4-1*
1 Colorful 5-2 PLACE
4 Sequiota 7-2 SHOW
5 Ascending Angel 8-1
Race 10
3 Ascendancy 15-1
2 Doubly Distinct 5-2
1 Catergory 12-1

Best Bets Race 7 the 5 Mister Blue and Race 9 the 2 Remember Ned

Race 7 the 5 Mister Blue: 2nd start of meet(21% win), 3rd off 30+ layoff(38% win), drops to 25k claimers, won 3rd start of career. Should get a good spot sitting off expected fast pace and run them down in the stretch. 

Race 9 the 2 Remember Ned: MSW races for Clement at Tampa past 2 meets 45% win, Gets positive rider switch to Victor Lebron (2/3 when riding for Clement). $700k filly out of Lemon Drop kid should be ready to roll. Main danger will be from the 1 Colorful a $1million filly from Smart Strike, makes 2nd start off lay off, first at Tampa. Beaten favorite in last at Gulfstream Park. Best race came 2nd start at Saratoga 8/30/14 at today's distance missing by a nose.

Long Shot Race 10 the 3 Ascendancy: turf to dirt (27% win angle), turn back route to spring (18% win angle), has won at distance. Trainer is overdue for a big priced winner at this meet. 
 


Late Pick Four 
Race 7
1,3,5 w 6 w 1,2 w 1,2,3
5 w 2,12 w 1,2 w 1,2,3
5 w 6 w 4,5 w 1,2,3

Wager total $18


Cheers!