Saratoga Phil

TAMPA BAY DOWNS 4/20/2013

Race 1
3 It's Not Nice 5-2 WIN $3.40
5 Hellen's Folly 9-2
1 Indian Runner 7-2 SHOW
2 Aragorn's Quest 4-1 4th
Race 2
4 Oldum 3-1 SHOW
7 Enduring Cause 5-1
3 Scotts Gap 2-1
Race 3
9 Moms Glide 4-1
7 Roman Score 5-2 WIN $10.00
6 With My Daddy 7-2 PLACE
1 Delivery 10-1
Race 4
9 Emily's Sundance 2-1 WIN $4.00
4 Just Safe 9-2
Race 5
9 Asian Invasion 6-1
10 Ballerino 2-1 PLACE
1 Splittin' Wood 8-1 WIN $12.00
2 I Captivate Myself 5-2 SHOW
Race 6
3 Chazzy Hustle 10-1 4th
6 Alex McGee 3-1
7 Lucky Shot 7-2
9 Mighty Gideon 5-2 WIN $10.20
Race 7
4 Spring a Latch 6-1 PLACE
5 Yawn 4-14th
7 Wild Romance 7-2 SHOW
3 Tataliza 3-1 WIN $9.60
Race 8
4 Lucky Place 9-2
3 It's a Bad Rapit 5-2 SHOW
1 Pack a Punch 7-2 4th
7 Katapulter 6-1
Race 9
9 Iloveyoubutimbored 6-1 PLACE
8 War Politics 6-1
1 El Uno 3-1 WIN $7.20
6 Oak Harbor 9-2
Race 10
8 Mary's Derby Rose 6-1
7 Lady of the Glen 2-1 SHOW
5 Pursteena 7-2 WIN $9.60
10 Miss Scout 4-1 PLACE

Best Bet Race 9 the 9 Iloveyoubutimbored, goes out for sharp trainer Reid Nagle. First time blinkers(40% win), stretches out to a mile(distance of lone win at Tampa last April), 2nd start off layoff (38% win). 2011 and 2012 Tampa meets Nagle won 42% in Turf routes. Go to rider Villa-Gomez. 

Analysis:

Race 6 the 3 Chazzy Hustle, repeats pattern of maiden win turf route to 7f sprint, De La Cruz in the irons.
Race 7 the 4 Spring a Latch, drops from 75k to 25k. Broke maiden(32K) this distance 4 back. Garcia rides back on the drop and was winning rider on mdn win. 

Betting Strategy:
Race 3 $0.50 P4 the 1,3,6,7,9 w 4,9 w 9,10 w 3,6,7,9
Race 5 $5 win 9 and $2 exacta box 9,10
Race 6 $10 win 3
$0.50 P5 the 3 w 4,5 w 3,4 w 8,9 w 5,7,8
Race 7 $10 win 4 and $2 exacta box 4,5
$0.50 P4 the 3,4,5,7 w 3,4 w 8,9 w 5,7,8,10
Race 8 $1 P3 the 3,4 w 9 w 5,7,8,10 
Race 9 $20 win 9

Total Wagered $145.00

Will update best bet and wager strategy after scratches.

Cheers!

Bonus Races
Calder 
Race 9  Miami Mile Hcp Gr III 1 mile Turf
1 Summer Front  3-1 WIN $3.80
4 Awake At T Wire 20-1
3 Empire Builder 12-1 SHOW
5 Alley Oop Oop 8-1 4th
Keeneland
Race 8 Giant's Causeway 5 1/2 furlongs Turf
1 Rosa Salvaje 12-1
2 Extravaganza 5-1
8 Spun Cap 6-1 PLACE
Race 9 Lexington Gr III 1 1/16 miles
1 Winning Cause 5-1 WIN $15.60
10 General Election 15-1 PLACE
11 Pure Fun 7-2
Hawthorne 
Race 8 Illinois Derby Gr III 1 1/16 miles
8 Abraham 8-1 4th
5 Ground Transport 8-1
13 Departing 7-2 WIN $5.80