Saratoga Phil

TAMPA BAY DOWNS 4/21/2013

Race 1
3 Chillin Dylan 8-1 SHOW
1 Saturday in May 5-2 PLACE
7 Babo 8-1
5 Clever King 3-1 WIN $6.80
Race 2
2 Shutthefrontdoor 2-1 broke last, rushed up to challenge then tired and finished last.
1 Hazels Brew 5-2 SHOW
5 Saturday's Lady 6-1
Race 3
8 First Friend 6-1
4 Merida City 3-2 PLACE
Race 4
3 Caribaya Queen 5-1
4 Two Wonders 5-2 WIN $7.20
2 Whoodoo Meadow 9-2
8 Art of the Hunt 4-1 4th
Race 5
2 Hov Lane 5-2 PLACE
1 He's R Dehere Now 3-1 4th
4 Jo Ann's Bullet 7-2 WIN $11.20
Race 6
3 How About Peace 9-2 WIN $19.40
1 Act of Madness 2-1 PLACE
8 Mr. Watanabe 5-1 SHOW
6 Smokin'themeadow 6-1 4th
Race 7
4 Author Bob 3-2 WIN $2.80
1 What a Scene 10-1
Race 8
8 Lady Samuri 3-1 WIN $6.20
9 Prothoe 5-2 scratched
Race 9
5 Body by Gaff 4-1
2 Lory's Star 5-1
1 Evil Penny 7-2 4th
Race 10
10 Witch's Humor 12-1
8 Rolling Rate 9-5 WIN $4.00
6 Bab'sbrickhouse 8-5 SHOW
5 My B F F 12-1 4th
11 Phar Too Rich scratched

Best Bet:
Race 10 the 10 Witch's Humor, drops from MSW to MC 16k, adds lasix, switch to turf, sprint to route, 1rst off layoff (+180 days 44% win), and first with trainer 23% win. 

Analysis:
Race 2 the 2 Shutthefrontdoor, last weeks best bet gets second start, scratched from tougher yesterday. Just missed in debut. No value on win bet, use in multi race wagers.

Betting strategy: 
Race 1 $5 win 3, $2 DD 3 w 2 and $2 P3 the 3 w 2 w 4,8
Race 2 $1 P3 the 2 w 4,8 w 2,3,4
Race 3 $0.50 P4 the 4,8 w 2,3,4,8 w 1,2,4 w 1,3,6,8
Race 4 $20 win 3
Race 6 $0.50 P5 the 1,3,6,8 w 4 w 8 w 1,2,5 w 5,6,8,10
$2 win 3
Race 7 $0.50 P4 the 4 w 8 w 1,2,5 w 5,6,8,10
Race 8 $2 P3 the 8 w 1,2,5 w 10
Race 10 $20 win 10, $5 exacta box 8,10 and $1 trifecta box 6,8,10

Wager totals: $159.00

Cheers!